How much does a plane ticket cost now? ——Analysis of price trends of popular routes in 2023
Recently, with the end of the summer travel season and the approach of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, the fluctuation of air ticket prices has become a hot topic across the Internet. This article will combine the popular data from the entire network in the past 10 days to analyze the current air ticket price trends and price references for popular routes.
1. The overall trend of recent air ticket prices
According to data from major OTA platforms, air ticket prices in early September dropped by about 15%-30% compared to the summer period, but some popular tourist routes rebounded due to the increase in bookings for the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day. The following is a recent price comparison of typical routes:
| route | Average price in August | Average price in early September | Increase or decrease |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing-Sanya | 1200 yuan | 850 yuan | ↓29.2% |
| Shanghai-Chengdu | 980 yuan | 750 yuan | ↓23.5% |
| Guangzhou-Kunming | 650 yuan | 580 yuan | ↓10.8% |
| Shenzhen-Hangzhou | 550 yuan | 420 yuan | ↓23.6% |
| Chengdu-Lhasa | 1100 yuan | 950 yuan | ↓13.6% |
2. Pre-sale prices soared during the National Day Golden Week
Although it is currently the off-season, air tickets during the National Day holiday (September 29-October 6) have entered the pre-sale peak, and the prices of some routes have increased by 200%-300% compared with normal days:
| Popular National Day Routes | weekday price | National Day price | Increase |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing-Xiamen | 600 yuan | 1800 yuan | ↑200% |
| Shanghai-Xi'an | 500 yuan | 1500 yuan | ↑200% |
| Guangzhou-Chongqing | 450 yuan | 1350 yuan | ↑200% |
| Chengdu-Urumqi | 800 yuan | 2400 yuan | ↑200% |
| Hangzhou-Sanya | 700 yuan | 2100 yuan | ↑200% |
3. Price dynamics of international routes
As international routes gradually resumed, international air ticket prices showed a divergent trend in September: Southeast Asian routes continued to be low, while European and American routes remained high.
| international routes | Average price in August | Average price in September | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai-Bangkok | 1800 yuan | 1500 yuan | ↓16.7% |
| Beijing-Singapore | 2200 yuan | 1900 yuan | ↓13.6% |
| Guangzhou-Tokyo | 3500 yuan | 3200 yuan | ↓8.6% |
| Shanghai-London | 8500 yuan | 8200 yuan | ↓3.5% |
| Shenzhen-Los Angeles | 7800 yuan | 7600 yuan | ↓2.6% |
4. Tips for saving money on ticket purchases
1.Travel during peak hours: If you choose to travel on September 27-28 or after October 7 during the National Day holiday, you can save 40%-60% on the price.
2.Transfer link: When direct flights are more expensive, you can save 30%-50% by choosing connecting flights.
3.Member day ticket purchase: Major airlines often have special discounts on their monthly membership days (such as China Southern Airlines on the 28th and China Eastern Airlines on the 18th)
4.Baggage optimization: When choosing an airline with differentiated services, streamlining baggage can reduce total expenses.
5. Future Price Forecast
According to predictions by the civil aviation data analysis agency, air ticket prices will be at a trough for the whole year after the National Day (mid-October to December), and some routes may experience "cabbage prices". Passengers with flexible travel plans are advised to pay attention to the following periods:
| time period | expected discount | Recommended routes |
|---|---|---|
| October 15-31 | 30-40% off | Business routes departing from Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen |
| The whole month of November | 20-30% off | Routes to unpopular tourist destinations |
| early December | 30-50% off | Winter travel routes in Northeast China, Hainan, etc. |
Conclusion
The current air ticket prices generally show the characteristics of "not slow in the off-season", with both price correction after the summer and rapid increase before the National Day. Passengers should choose an appropriate ticket purchasing strategy based on their own needs. If necessary, they can set up a price reminder function to seize the best ticket purchasing opportunity.
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